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Sea Level Rise: Regional

I’ve decided to apply some area weighting to my sea level estimate based on my new method. I’ve just begun, and so far I have defined two regions: the east and west coasts of North America. Only when...

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Sea Level: Eastern North America

Since Dave Burton was kind enough to remind us how great the danger of sea level rise is, I’m enjoying the recent focus on the topic. I’d like to apply my new alignment technique (including variable...

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Thank You

First, thanks to Jean-Pierre Dehottay, Koenraad Machiels, Tim Baumann, and James Vogan for kind donations to the blog. As I’ve said recently, it really makes a difference right now. We still need help...

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Climate Change Threatens the Corn Belt

While American farmers are still suffering from recent severe flooding, historically our “corn belt” has done a remarkable job increasing food production. The main reason is of course the advances of...

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Secret Agreement lets homebuilders prevent energy efficiency

A fascinating story in the NY Times tells how the National Association of Home Builders got a special deal which guarantees them — the industry supposed to be regulated — 4 out of 11 seats on two...

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A Message from Pamina

Hello all, I wanted to let you all know that later today, Tamino is undergoing surgery. It’s something that’s been scheduled for months now and while it’s nothing life-threatening, he will be laid up...

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Western Wildfire: Climate Change is Serious Business

Over the last few years we’ve heard story after story about massive wildfires in the western USA which threatened thousands of homes and lives and cost people billions of dollars. California seemed...

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Where There’s Smoke, There’s Fire

This wedding photo from California went “viral” in a visible sign of how there’s no escape from California wildfires. Recent research from Williams et al. takes a detailed look at how fire activity has...

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California Wildfire Denial

Roy Spencer has joined the chorus of those denying the link between climate change and California’s wildfire crisis. But rather than share scientific insight, Spencer inflicts on us his brand of...

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Sea Level PCA, from the Baltic Sea to el Niño

I’ve made a new estimate of global sea level based on a subset of all the tide gauge data in PSMSL (Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level). I’m just doing the 20th century, and I’ve used only those data...

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Sea Level: Align the Aligned

A new paper by Nauels et al. concludes that even if the U.S. stays in the Paris agreement and all nations make good on their pledges, our greenhouse gas emissions by the year 2030 will be enough to...

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Mary Ellis Stevens, American Hero

Mary Ellis Steven is excited about meeting Greta Thunberg this Friday, at her climate strike in Charlotte, North Carolina. So excited to have the one and only @GretaThunberg join my strike this Friday!...

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Sea Level: Gridded Average

I’ve formed a gridded composite sea level estimate and I’d like to share it. It’s quite crude, but some compensation is necessary because a simple average of stations is dominated by Europe and North...

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Global Temperature Update

Update: This post has changed to correct a mistake I made with the ERA-5 data. I keep hearing about such-and-such month being the “hottest such-and-such month on record.” October of this year, for...

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“Gagging climate change experts from speaking in the middle of a bushfire...

So said Australian Member of Parliament David Shoebridge after bureaucrats attending a climate planning and adaptation conference had been advised not to discuss the relationship between climate change...

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Back to Basic Climate Denial

Thomas K. Bjorklund has a post at WUWT which tells us a lot about the level of “science” at that blog. He reveals his theme early: The discussion below of the first derivative of a temperature anomaly...

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Summer is Coming

Winter is coming to New England, but in Australia, the land down under, December heralds the beginning of summer. As recently as 2013 they suffered through the “angry summer,” bringing Aussies endless...

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Global Warming Wages War on Christmas

Apparently global warming is now waging war on Chrismas. The town of North Pole, Alaska, had to cancel their yearly “Christmas in Ice” celebration. The reason? Not enough ice.

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Climate Models

How well have climate models forecast global temperature? I took the data for global average temperature from climate model simulations in the CMIP5 archive; those are computer models used in the...

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European Heat Waves

Those of us who follow such things, know that Europe has been hit with two killer heat waves since the year 2000. Super-killer heat waves. The first, in 2003, covered much of western Europe and led to...

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